There is nothing to say about the technical side. The 5-day support is acceptable, and there is no structure at the high position. Therefore, according to Lao Liu's expectation, the probability in the second half of this week is mainly a shock consolidation stage of Xiaoyin Xiaoyang, and there will be repeated sawing consolidation near 3400 points.Therefore, after the short-term shock consolidation, when it breaks through 3500 points again, it should have the foundation for acceleration. I would like to remind you that there is no basis for a sharp drop here. No matter the meeting expectation or the tone of maintaining stability, it is impossible for it to continue to get out of control and cause financial risks here.Yesterday, A shares directly opened higher at 3490 points, basically only 10 points away from the 3500 points I said. From the perspective of timing, yesterday's opening was a lightening point. Nowadays, many people are worried that this is a shipment rather than a dish washing. After reading this article, you will know the specific answer.
December 11th Morning Post: The market opened higher and went lower, washing dishes or shipping?The heavy benefits released by the meeting were dismantled with you bit by bit yesterday. In fact, it is not that the benefits are not as good as expected, or the stimulus is not big enough. In fact, the main reason is that the medium and long term is definitely good, but the short-term index and stock price are all driven by funds.There is nothing to say about the technical side. The 5-day support is acceptable, and there is no structure at the high position. Therefore, according to Lao Liu's expectation, the probability in the second half of this week is mainly a shock consolidation stage of Xiaoyin Xiaoyang, and there will be repeated sawing consolidation near 3400 points.
Generally speaking, I have been trying to adjust positions around the direction of new quality productivity recently. After this wave of short-term stepping back, there is a high probability that a new and old cycle will be switched. I won't chase after the high price, so I'd better do my own business quietly!The most important thing is that the trend here is different from that on October 8, with 3 stocks falling down and 38 stocks falling by more than 5%. This data also does not support the main shipment. More is an active retracement adjustment after the big opening, at least before the upward trend of the market has not changed, don't worry too much.However, please note that the benefits of heavy meetings are not digested, but just accumulated as before. Then, when the policy is gradually implemented, it will still bring motivation and support to A-shares in the medium and long term. Simply put, the funds of these institutions will not be scattered!